Aluminum Supply & Markets Conference

June 15 - 16, 2010 , Montreal, Canada
Tuesday, June 15, 2010
12:00

Registration & Exhibits

1:00

Opening Remarks by Conference Chair

Dick Evans, Former CEO, Rio Tinto Alcan & AMM Conference Chair
1:05

Executive Panel

Moderated by conference chair and former CEO of Rio Tinto Alcan, Dick Evans, market leaders explore the major challenges and opportunities facing the aluminum industry in North America and on a global scale. This lively, interactive discussion will allow ample opportunity for questions from the floor.

This debate will include:

• The role of China and other emerging markets

• Anti-dumping and countervailing duty petitions

• The growing concerns over energy cost and availability

• The growing influence of the U.S. government on the economy

• The prospects for global economic recovery

Duncan Crowdis, President Bonnell Aluminum, Vice President of Tredegar Corp.
Steve Demetriou, CEO, Aleris International
Jean-Marc Germain, Executive Vice President of Novelis, President of Novelis North America
Gordon Hamilton, Vice President, Metal Management, Sales & Marketing, Rio Tinto Alcan
Tony Hammes, Vice President Procurement, Ryerson Inc
Scott Morrison, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer, Ball Corporation
Moderator: Dick Evans, Former CEO, Rio Tinto Alcan & AMM Conference Chair
2:30

Aluminum’s Key Role in Sustainability

Tom Brackmann, President, Nichols Aluminum, Vice Chair, Aluminum Association
3:00

Coffee Break

3:30

Aluminum Supply Dynamics

Producing primary aluminum is energy intensive and costs must be contained in order to remain competitive. Downstream markets demand partnerships to not only supply aluminum, but to solve product design problems. Our panel discusses the global shift in primary aluminum production, supply side dynamics and the impact to the downstream markets.

• Fundamentals of supply side dynamics in the aluminum market

• Analysis of raw materials supply, demand and trends

• Where will the aluminum production be centered?

• Integration and consolidation within the aluminum industry

• Energy demands and escalating costs

• Where is the next source of isolated power?

• How will emerging markets impact the North American market?

• Where are the best prospects for demand growth – products and regions

• Will the change in the alumina pricing formula have a significant impact on the primary market?

Scott Evans, Chief Trader, Aluminum Department, Mitsubishi International Corporation
Gordon Hamilton, Vice President, Metal Management, Sales & Marketing, Rio Tinto Alcan
Bruce Markowitz, President, Markowitz Metals Group (MMG)
Moderator: David Brooks, Senior Vice President & Publisher, American Metal Market
4:30

The Analyst’s Perspective

Dick Evans guides the discussion as leading analysts give their outlook, forecasts and trends on the aluminum market.

• Economic outlook, recovery and impact to aluminum supply and demand

• Supply and demand breakdown for primary, semi-fabricated and fabricated aluminum products

• Price forecast

• How will the alumina price formula change impact the determination of value in the supply chain?

Gayle Berry, Vice President Commodities Research, Barclays Capital
Robin Bhar, Senior Metals Analyst, Credit Agricole CIB
Carmine Nappi, Vice President Industry Analysis, Rio Tinto Alcan
Lloyd O’Carroll, Senior Vice President Research, Davenport & Company
Moderator: Dick Evans, Former CEO, Rio Tinto Alcan & AMM Conference Chair
5:30

Networking Reception

Wednesday, June 16, 2010
7:30

Registration, Exhibts & Continental Breakfast Open

8:00

The Role of Private Equity in the Aluminum Sector

Rick Press, Partner, Apollo Management, L.P.
8:30

Focus on Transportation

Primary and secondary aluminum is the material of choice in automotive and aerospace sectors, while die casters, trailer and utility vehicles all share in the common need for aluminum. Our panel discussion centers on all aspects of the transportation market sector driving aluminum demand, market penetration in emerging economies and the changing supply side dynamics.

• Demand for auto sheet

• When will auto production rebound?

• What will be the short term build rates for auto, heavy truck and trailers?

• When will trailer inventory levels return to normal?

• New metals choices in autos for crashworthiness

• Demand for aerospace aluminum plate

• Will destocking in the aerospace sector continue?

• A look at the changing market dynamics in aerospace supply chain

Tom Horter, President, Alexin, LLC
Bob Mraz, Vice President Sales & Marketing, TW Metals Inc.
Doug Richman, Vice President Engineering & Technology, Kaiser Aluminum Fabricated Products
Randall Scheps, Marketing Director, Ground Transportation, Alcoa Inc.
Dick Schultz, Project Consultant, Ducker Worldwide
Moderator: Raju Daswani, Managing Director & Publisher, Metal Bulletin
10:00

Trucks and Trailers – A Bright Spot in the Transportation Sector

Steven Miller, Vice President Supply Chain, Wabash National
10:30

Coffee Break

11:00

Focus on Packaging & Cans

Will the can sector remain recession-resistant? Are acquisitions still in play or is the market already consolidated? The flexible packaging sector could be challenged by a demand for lighter materials making plastics a more attractive alternative. Recycling of UBC’s continues to make headlines with the recent creation of Evermore Recycling, the partnership between Novelis and Alcoa.

Our panelists examine the supply and demand issues for flat market and can sheet and look at growth potential in flexible packaging and cans.

Topics for discussion:

• Outlook for the flat market.

• Trends for can sheet.

• Can sector outlook - poised for growth or is market share being challenged by plastic?

• A look at pricing dynamics in post-cap era.

• Opportunities for flexible packaging.

• Will the demand for lighter materials in flexible packaging threaten aluminum?

• Where is the projected growth in international markets

• The domestic flexible packaging market.

• Will imports from China and Russia increase?

• Is there oversupply in the domestic market?

Rob Lauterbach, Vice President Strategic Sourcing, Ball Corporation
Craig Reiners, Director Risk Management, MillerCoors
Greg Wittbecker, Director, Recycling & Primary Aluminum Analysis, Alcoa Inc.
Moderator: David Brooks, Senior Vice President, American Metal Market
12:00

Lunch

1:30

A Return to Profitability for Construction & Infrastructure

Ron Marchbanks, President & Chief Operating Officer, JW Aluminum
2:00

Focus on Construction & Infrastructure

Destined for a projected slower recovery, the construction and infrastructure end markets face unique challenges. Residential and commercial construction remains stagnant with energy being the only bright spot on the horizon. Our panelists consider opportunities for common alloy sheet and billet in construction.

• Outlook for common alloy sheet

• The electrical grid – an upside for aluminum

• Aluminum versus composites; who’s positioned to gain market share?

• Inventory levels versus market demand.

Lynn Brown, Senior Vice, President Sales & Marketing, Hydro Aluminum
Alan Dick, Executive Vice President & President Rolled Products North America, Aleris International
Pat Gorman, Vice President & General Manager North American Utility Business, General Cable Corporation
John Palesny, Vice President, Petersen Aluminum Corporation
Moderator: Raju Daswani, Managing Director & Publisher, Metal Bulletin
3:30

New Applications for Solar Energy

Scott Kerns, Vice President & General Manager Alcoa Concentrated Solar Power Program, Alcoa Inc.
4:00

The Final Analysis

Dick Evans invites previous speakers to join him in the final analysis to examine the events of the last few days. Panelists will consider remarks from presenters and deliberate the implications to the aluminum industry.

Mo Ahmadzadeh, Managing Partner, Southold Capital LLC
Moderator: Dick Evans, Former CEO, Rio Tinto Alcan & Conference Chair
5:00

Conference Close

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